I've written this column for 21 years now, and the question gets asked every year, every week, every column.
What's with the long intros?
When I started at RotoWorld, editors asked me "What's with the long, personal intros?"
Years later, when my own website/blog was bought by ESPN, my new ESPN editors had the same question. "Seriously, what's the deal with the long intros?"
To this day, search my name on any message board or any social media platform and you will no doubt see some people complaining about the long intros.
"Just tell us who to start and sit, fantasy monkey."
That's the nice version of the complaint.
There are a lot of reasons for the long intros, but here are three.
1. People like them. A lot. When I run into fans out and about, they never ever say "Thanks for loving Jalen Hurts this year." "Thanks for Austin Ekeler and Mike Williams." "Thanks for Darren Waller two years ago or Logan Thomas last year or your little Cooper Kupp, or having Elijah Mitchell, Damien Harris, Mike Gesicki or any number of players on last week's "Love" list, or really any player call I've nailed. Seriously. They never mention any calls I've made.
They do mention the column. "I loved the story about your daughter breaking her arms" or the "story about Jack Attack" or "the heart attack column" or so on and so on. For many, many people, the open is their favorite part.
2. I like to write them. A lot. They take forever to write, they take a lot out of me and I sweat over every word. But it's also the thing I do that is often the most creatively challenging and rewarding. I'm my own worst critic, and I don't like much of what I do. Podcast jokes aside, I find it hard to accept compliments or be self-congratulatory, but real talk? I think I'm a really good writer.
3. I think it's one of the things that differentiates me. I always felt that you could print out a bunch of fantasy football articles, tear off the headline and black out the author and you wouldn't know what website it came from or who wrote it. But that if you did that to my column, whether you loved or hated my column, you'd look at it and say "That's a Matthew Berry column."
And that's important to me. It has definitely served me well. Because when you pull the names off, it's really hard for people to differentiate between choices they have.
It's a big challenge in the world of creating content, and even more so in the world of fantasy football.
We draft, start, pick up, trade and judge based on names. But we play with numbers.
So here's a fun thing I've done for a number of years, usually in the middle of the season, once there are enough numbers to put beside the names. Seven weeks in, it's time for the 2021 edition of Blind Résumés.
Here are players whose numbers, in one way or the other, resemble another player's, even if the names don't usually get associated with each other. See if you can guess before you peek at the answers. Thanks to Kyle Soppe and Kevin Pulsifer for their suggestions used throughout.
Quarterback A: 24.8 PPG (310 pass + rush yards/gm), 8.5 air yards per throw, 9 games of 20+ FP
Quarterback B: 24.4 PPG (297 pass + rush yards/gm), 8.5 air yards per throw, 7 games of 20+ FP
**********
QB A is Josh Allen in 2020, the best player in fantasy football over the course of 16 games.
QB B is Jalen Hurts in seven games so far in 2021.
Running Back C: 1020 total yards, 10 total TDs, 186.5 fantasy points
Running Back D: 1099 total yards, 7 total TDs, 186.9 fantasy points.
*****************
So, RB C is Derrick Henry this year in seven games played.
RB D is a combination of two running backs who were often drafted ahead of Henry this year, Alvin Kamara and Dalvin Cook, in 10 games combined to this point.
Running Back E: 278.4 FP, 4.7 yards per carry, 12 TDs
Running Back F: 258.9 FP, 3.9 yards per carry, 9 total TDs
****************
RB E is James Robinson over his past 16 games played.
RB F is Saquon Barkley over his past 16 games played.
Wide Receiver G: 8.0 fantasy points/gm, 6.6 targets/gm, 0 Top 25 weekly finishes.
Wide Receiver H: 9.9 fantasy points/gm, 4.2 targets/gm, 1 Top 25 weekly finish.
*********************
WR G is Odell Beckham Jr., who is rostered in 83.9% of ESPN leagues.
WR H is Lions receiver Quintez Cephus, who just went on IR.
Wide Receiver I: 177.2 FP, 732 receiving yards, 10 TDs, 9 red zone targets.
Wide Receiver J: 190.4 FP, 809 receiving yards, 9 TDs, 15 red zone targets.
*****************
WR I is Randy Moss through his first seven games of 2007, one of the greatest WR seasons in fantasy football history.
WR J is my little Cooper Kupp through seven games this season.
Wide Receiver K: 21.5 PPG, 10.4 targets/game, 91.6 yards/game
Wide Receiver L: 21.8 PPG, 10.3 targets/game, 108 yards/game
*********
WR K is Tyreek Hill, ADP of WR2.
WR L is Deebo Samuel, ADP of WR40.
Wide Receiver M: 7.7 PPG, 35.7 yards/game, 1 TD
Wide Receiver N: 7.3 PPG, 34.7 yards/game, 2 TDs
***********
WR M is Allen Robinson II, ADP of WR12
WR N is Byron Pringle, ADP undrafted
Wide Receiver O: 15.9 PPG, 9.8 targets/game, 77.1 yards/game.
Wide Receiver P: 15.8 PPG, 9.3 targets/game, 74.8 yards/game.
**************.*****
WR O is Stefon Diggs, ADP of WR3.
WR P is Sterling Shepard, ADP of WR66.
Since Week 2 of this year:
Tight End Q: 16.1 FPPG, 39 receptions, 2 Rec TDs, 66% catch rate.
Tight End R: 15.3 FPPG, 37 receptions, 2 Rec TDs, 77% catch rate.
*********
TE Q is Travis Kelce, TE1 this season, yet again pacing the entire position.
TE R is Mike Gesicki, currently TE3 this season, still available in 9% of ESPN leagues.
These stats are all on a per-game basis:
Player S: 4.7 receptions, 60.0 yards
Player T: 4.3 receptions, 58.3 yards
Player U: 3.9 receptions, 24.6 yards
Player V: 3.7 receptions, 43.3 yards
Player W: 3.4 receptions, 58.0 yards
***************
These are all Arizona Cardinals.
S-DeAndre Hopkins, T-Christian Kirk, U-Chase Edmonds, V-Rondale Moore, W-A.J. Green
Let's get to it. Thanks as always to Damian Dabrowski for his help at various points in this column.
Quarterbacks I love in Week 8
Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles (at Lions)
Last week, Patrick Mahomes scored just 7.7 fantasy points in a bad loss to the Titans. Last week, Antonio Gibson scored just 7.6 fantasy points in a bad loss to the Packers. Last week, in a 12-team superflex dynasty league, my team riddled with injuries and byes had to start the already-ruled-out Baker Mayfield and little-used Anthony Schwartz in a bad loss. The point is ... we all have bad weeks. Except Jalen Hurts. Even in a loss by double digits, a game in which Hurts often looked lost, he still ended up with 23.5 fantasy points. Hurts is now 7-for-7 on the season in scoring at least 20 fantasy points in a game. The man is seemingly incapable of not producing in fantasy, no matter how poorly his team -- or even Hurts himself some weeks -- performs. Could the Eagles lose this week to the winless Lions? Yep. (In fact, I think Detroit wins this one). But could Hurts fail to score 20 fantasy points? Nope. Too much rushing from him -- he has seven goal-to-go carries over the past three weeks, second to only Leonard Fournette over that stretch -- especially with no Miles Sanders. Considering Hurts gets a Lions defense that allows passing touchdowns at the highest rate in the NFL and a league-high 9.5 yards per pass attempt, Hurts will make it 8-for-8 on Sunday. He's a top-three play for me this week.
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (at Jets)
If the playoffs started today, the Bengals would be the No. 1 seed in the AFC and the Kansas City Chiefs would be out. Down is up, up is down. In a crazy, topsy-turvy world, it's nice to know there's at least one thing we can count on: The Jets are still terrible. Over the past four weeks, New York is allowing a league-high 332.6 passing yards per game. And after getting lit up by a struggling Mac Jones last week, they now face a red-hot Burrow and the Bengals. Over his past four games, Burrow has at least 270 passing yards and multiple touchdowns, good for 22.5 PPG in that span. The only real decision here is whether I love Burrow more than I hate the Jets' defense in this spot, but the end result is the same. Burrow is a locked-in top-eight QB play this week.
Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings (vs. Cowboys)
You're never excited to have Cousins in your starting lineup. It's like opening your freezer to grab some dessert and there's just a tub of half-eaten vanilla ice cream in there. Then you open the lid and the top layer is covered with frost. Do you wish there was something better available? Sure. But are you going to choose to NOT eat dessert? Absolutely not! Let's be reasonable! And if you scrounge up some toppings ... maybe some chocolate fudge, some sprinkles, some whipped cream ... now you're talking! This is a real dessert! This is delicious! So good. MMMMMM, still edible ice cream. Wait ... what was my point? Oh, right ... 1) I should not write on an empty stomach; 2) Kirk Cousins quietly has 22-plus fantasy points in four of his six games this season. Not a sexy name, but you've eaten worse, er, started worse. Considering teams facing Dallas are averaging the seventh-most pass attempts per game and the Cowboys allow 295 passing yards per game, fifth most in the league, Cousins is the topping that can help make even the blandest fantasy quarterback good. I know that doesn't totally make sense, but whatever. I'm hangry and no longer care about logic. This game has the highest over/under on the slate and I want a part of that cake next to the, crap, I mean a part of this game. OK, check out some other quarterbacks I like this week while I eat something ...
Others receiving votes: The Chiefs are giving up the second-most fantasy PPG to opposing quarterbacks this season (24.1). Now Daniel Jones gets to take a run at them this week. Speaking of running (whatever, you try making a good segue when you're starving), Jones has at least 25 rushing yards in five of his seven games this season, keeping his floor high in a game with an over/under north of 50. ... The Washington Football Team, not the Chiefs, allows the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this season. All right! We're in first place in something! Great job, guys! I'm totally being sincerely happy here and not sobbing all over my keyboard! Because the good news doesn't stop there, fellow Washington fans! No! WFT also has given up the most passing yards and passing touchdowns this season. So great! Just wonderful! I'm super-jazzed to watch Teddy Bridgewater light them up on Sunday. ... Carson Wentz has multiple touchdowns and 17-plus fantasy points in four straight games. He has a great chance to make it five straight against a Titans team allowing the ninth-most passing yards per game this season.
Quarterbacks I hate in Week 8
Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars (at Seahawks)
Has Lawrence improved over the course of this season? Yes. Has Lawrence ever finished as a top-10 fantasy QB in a week? No. While Urban Meyer may be known for scoring, Lawrence actually has a pretty low touchdown rate. Since Week 2, Lawrence has just four touchdown passes on 165 pass attempts. The only quarterbacks with a lower touchdown rate over that same stretch are Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Justin Fields and Zach Wilson. Not exactly a list of current MVP candidates. I'm a big believer in Lawrence long term, and it's been great to see him start to use his legs. And a top-10 week is certainly coming. But on the road at one of the toughest places to play in the NFL, as a rookie, against a Seahawks defense that is the fourth-best red zone defense in the league this season? I don't think it's this week.
Mac Jones, New England Patriots (at Chargers)
Last week was a great performance by Jones, no doubt. But it was against the Jets. I think this week will be, for lack of a better term, the return of the Mac. (I'm so sorry. The food still hasn't settled in.) That is: the conservative game manager Mac Jones. The guy who didn't finish as a top 15 fantasy quarterback in a week even once before playing the Jets. And the Chargers are not the Jets. (#analysis) The Chargers allow the fourth-fewest passing yards per game and the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this season. They also rank top 10 in pressure rate. So far this season, Jones has more interceptions than touchdown passes when pressured. On the road against the Chargers' 30th-ranked run defense the past four weeks, I'd expect a run-heavy and conservative approach for the Patriots, putting Jones outside my top 20 for the week.
Running backs I love in Week 8
Darrell Henderson Jr., Los Angeles Rams (at Texans)
Ever go to a beloved restaurant with a group and everyone has a great meal except you? Everyone is talking about how delicious their meal was, and you're all bitter thinking how you're gonna have to drive-through somewhere on the way home. Well, that was Henderson last week. In a good matchup, in which all the other Rams had good-to-great games, Henderson was a meal you'd want to send back. I really should have eaten more during the QB section.
Here's the thing: I'm going back to the restaurant. Last week was Henderson's first game of the season with fewer than 15 fantasy points. And while the Rams lost several possessions last Sunday thanks to the Lions converting on two fake punts and an onside kick, that won't be the case on Sunday. Los Angeles isn't playing a desperate, winless, go-for-broke, kneecap-gobbling team. Instead it is playing a Texans team that, if Brandin Cooks' social media is any indication, is full-on tanking. If the Texans aren't, it's hard to tell. Houston allows the second-most rushing yards per game to running backs and the second-highest yards per carry to running backs. Considering Henderson has at least 18 touches in four straight games as well as four targets per game during that stretch, he should easily break the 15-point mark again in Week 8. Not sure about me, but Henderson will eat this Sunday as a top-five play.
James Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (at Seahawks)
It's easy to forget about Robinson. Last week he was on a bye. The week before that, the Jaguars were in London. And the weeks before that, well, he still plays for the Jaguars. No flashy name, no funny nickname, plays for a small-market team with only one win and yet ... Robinson has at least 19 touches and a touchdown in four straight games, and is averaging 21.7 PPG over that stretch. He's also getting a ton of usage at the goal line with nine goal-to-go rushes in those four games, tied for third most among backs. Now, with a week of rest, Robinson faces a Seattle team allowing 111.3 rushing yards to running backs this season and the second-most fantasy points to backs.
Damien Harris, New England Patriots (at Chargers)
I'm scared to say this, terrified I will essentially speak it into nonexistence, but here goes: Bill Belichick is allowing us to have a reliable fantasy back on the Patriots. (Phew. No thunder or lightning.) Even after injury, even after two lost fumbles, even after Rhamondre Stevenson was solid in Harris' place, Belichick is still giving Harris steady work. In fact, Harris now has back-to-back games with at least 100 rushing yards and a touchdown, and he's scored in three straight. And now he gets a Chargers defense that is tied for the second-most RB touchdowns allowed while giving up a NFL-high 132.3 rushing yards per game and 5.3 YPC to running backs. As you know from the Mac Jones write-up, that makes Harris a must-start again this week. Because I'll say it again: Bill Belichick is allowing us to have a reliable fantasy back on the Patriots. (I just won't say it a third time, or Harris will definitely disappear.)
Others receiving votes: The year of Cordarrelle Patterson rolls on. He now has at least 14 fantasy points in five straight games. That's right: One of the most enigmatic, unreliable fantasy players in history is now Mr. Consistency and shows no sign of abating. He had a season-high 73% snap rate in Week 7 and tied his season high in carries as well. ... Guess the player who leads all running backs in fantasy points per touch (minimum 40 touches this season)? No, not Derrick Henry. Not Christian McCaffrey. (Remember him?) Not even Patterson. It's Kenneth Gainwell. Really. And Gainwell is in line for extra work with Miles Sanders injured AND extra production against a Lions defense allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to running backs. ... The Bills are a heavy favorite over the Dolphins, and Zack Moss has at least 12 fantasy points in every Buffalo win he's played in this season. Miami has also allowed eight rushing touchdowns to running backs this season, tied for second most. ... If you drafted Michael Carter hoping for a breakout rookie season -- and then didn't drop him after a slow start -- you're starting to see some returns. Carter has double-digit touches in five straight games, is starting to be used in the passing game a lot more (eight receptions last week) and is averaging a solid 13.9 PPG over his past three games.
Running backs I hate in Week 8
Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at Saints)
It's Fournette's turn to get some RB Hate, because that New Orleans front seven deserves nothing but love. After making Alex Collins and Rashaad Penny their latest victims on Monday night, the Saints are now allowing just 2.8 yards per carry to opposing backs on the season. That's 34.4% below average. New Orleans hasn't allowed a single back to rush for more than 72 yards on it this season, and just three backs -- Christian McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley and Antonio Gibson -- have even 45 total yards against the Saints. Considering Tampa has (checks notes) a pretty solid quarterback at its disposal, the Bucs will happily avoid that run defense this week. Fournette is still involved in the passing game and there's always a chance at a score, but I have Uncle Lenny as only a borderline top-20 play this week, much lower than he has been in recent weeks and lower than the consensus ranks.
Antonio Gibson, Washington Football Team (at Broncos)
I wish writing this column every week didn't make me sad, but then I constantly come across nuggets like this: Gibson has yet to finish as a top-12 running back in any week this season. In fact, J.D. McKissic has outscored Gibson in three of the past four weeks. And Gibson hasn't had 70 rushing yards in a game since Week 1. And he's not busting any big plays, either. This season he has one catch -- one measly catch! -- that has gained more than 12 yards and just one carry that has gone for more than 17 yards. He's clearly playing hurt, and his offensive line is banged up, but still the question must be asked. Why? Why must every fact about my WFT hurt my feelings?! I have Gibson as a risky flex this week.
Melvin Gordon III, Denver Broncos (vs. Washington Football Team)
We knew Javonte Williams was drafted to eventually take over the RB1 job in Denver, and, well ... eventually has arrived. Gordon now has 13 or fewer touches in four straight games and hasn't ripped off a run of 15 yards since his 70-yard gallop in Week 1. Plus, this is a rare treat for me: Gordon is facing a WFT run defense that is actually ... not terrible! Over the past four weeks, Washington is allowing the second-fewest rushing yards per game to opposing backs. Wow! A positive WFT stat to share! I sure hope there are more of those in the coming paragraphs and this column doesn't immediately go back to making me sad.
Pass-catchers I love in Week 8
Courtland Sutton, Denver Broncos (vs. Washington)
The Washington Football Team allows the second-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season. Gah! Couldn't even make it one sentence. Oh, well. And the bad news for my WFT doesn't stop there, because there's always more. Washington also yields the second-most yards to wide receivers and is tied for the second-most touchdowns allowed to WRs. Good times. Jerry Jeudy is expected back in this one, so Washington will have its choice of which WR to let fly by as coverage breaks down, so I like both guys, but for Jeudy's first game back, I prefer Sutton, who averages 20.3 PPG when he gets at least six targets. I say he gets six targets on Sunday and is an easy top-20 play in Week 8.
Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings (vs. Cowboys)
The Cowboys allow the third-most yards per game to wide receivers this season and the sixth-most fantasy points. That's a Cowboys defense that has Trevon Diggs playing lights-out. Diggs, by the way, is expected to shadow Justin Jefferson Sunday night, which means Thielen should benefit by going against the Cowboys secondary members who are decidedly not of Diggs' caliber. You already know I like Cousins in this one and with Jefferson dealing with Diggs, I expect a lot of looks to Thielen, which is a good thing in a game that should be a shootout. When Thielen gets seven targets or more in a game this season, he's averaging 20.1 PPG in those contests. Top-eight play for me this week.
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at Saints)
I'll say it, write it, podcast it, message-in-a-bottle-it until I'm blue in the face, and when the paramedics are called because my face is blue, I'll tell them, too: When Antonio Brown is out of the Bucs' lineup, Chris Godwin needs to be in yours. A top-15 wide receiver in both games Antonio Brown has missed this season, Godwin leads Tampa Bay in red zone targets. In fact, only Cooper Kupp has more red zone targets among wideouts in the NFL. With Mike Evans dealing with Marshon Lattimore (wonder if that comes up later?), Godwin should get a lot of looks against a Saints team that struggles against the slot and is 19th against the pass over the past four weeks. A time period that includes the gift of Geno Smith. You, the people who eventually receive my bottle message in England, the EMT who just took my blood pressure ... all of you need to recognize Godwin is a top-10 play this week.
T.J. Hockenson, Detroit Lions (vs. Eagles)
Tight ends who see at least six targets against the Eagles this season are averaging 14.9 PPG. And now here is the part where I tell you that Hockenson has at least eight targets in five of his seven games this season and 10-plus each of the past two weeks, which bodes well for him against Philadelphia. And now here is the part where I really seal the deal for Hockenson being on the Love list by telling you the Eagles have allowed six touchdowns to tight ends this season, tied for the most in the league. And now here is the part, with my case made on Hockenson, where I move on to some other pass-catchers I like this week.
Others receiving votes: Ja'Marr Chase has been amazing in his rookie season at age 21. But don't forget the Bengals have a seasoned, second-year veteran at the wise, old age of 22 who is still pretty good, too. In the past five games that he's played, Tee Higgins has seen 38.5% of Cincinnati's red zone targets and 57% of Cincinnati's end zone targets. That's right: Higgins is getting the bulk of the work in the red zone, not Chase. And last week, Higgins had 15 targets and 138 air yards. He's a great player to trade for in fantasy and in line for a nice game Sunday against the Jets. ... Tennessee is allowing the most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season, and Michael Pittman Jr. is averaging 16.6 PPG in his four games this season with at least six targets. ... DeVonta Smith has eight-plus targets in three of his past four games and a 22.5% target share. That kind of work has the opportunity for a big day against a Lions defense that gives up a league-high 15.6 yards per reception to wide receivers. ... Miami is bottom five in the league in both receptions and yards allowed to the slot. That means you could use a shot of Cole Beasley in your lineup this week. He has a 16% red zone target share this season, second highest on the Bills. ... No tight end averages more red zone targets per game than Tyler Higbee, who saw eight targets last week against Detroit. I like Higbee's chances at double digits this week against the Texans, who have given up more than 10.5 points to tight ends five times in the first seven games. ... The Chargers give up the second-most fantasy points per game to tight ends this season and the fourth-most touchdowns to the position. Enter Hunter Henry, who has a touchdown in four straight. ... Pat Freiermuth has all but officially taken the tight end job from Eric Ebron in Pittsburgh. And he also saw a huge uptick in targets in the Steelers' first game without JuJu Smith-Schuster, earning a season high in targets, receptions and snap rate. Unlike Ebron, Freiermuth also does a good job catching the passes that come his way, reeling in 90% of his targets this season.
Pass-catchers I hate in Week 8
Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (at Saints)
I don't expect Evans to catch three touchdowns again this week. I know I'm really going out on a limb there with that bold prediction. But considering Evans will draw the Marshon Lattimore shadow, three catches might be more in line with reality. Really. Over his past five games versus the Saints, Evans is averaging just 1.4 points per target, 39% below what he averages against all other teams. You're still likely starting Evans if you have him, but as you read earlier, I much prefer Chris Godwin here and I have Evans much lower than normal this week.
Brandin Cooks, Houston Texans (vs. Rams)
Houston has scored 30 total points over its past four games. Not surprisingly, Cooks has hit double-digit fantasy points just once in those four games and is WR40 during that span. Do we really think the Houston offense is suddenly going to break out against the Rams? We do not. Do we think Cooks is angry with his team? We do, because we are on Twitter. And he's likely not going to feel any better about them after this week, because we remember that the Rams versus wide receivers this season are top four in touchdown rate, air yards per target and yards per reception to wide receivers this season. We hope Cooks gets traded, well, anywhere. Also, we are now done referring to ourselves as "we" because we are sick of this bit.
Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins (at Bills)
Want to hear a scary Halloween story? It's the "Tale of Wide Receivers Versus the Bills." Once upon a time -- and to be clear, the time is the 2021 season -- OK, once upon a time, versus wide receivers, Buffalo yielded:
-
the second-fewest fantasy points per game
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the second-fewest yards per game
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the fewest yards per reception and air yards per target
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a league-low two touchdowns
Good luck trying to sleep tonight after reading all of those scaaaaarrry statistical bullet points.
Jared Cook, Los Angeles Chargers (vs. Patriots)
Welcome back to the Hate list, Jared Cook, for I want to say ... carry the seven ... the 3,435th time in your career. A remarkable achievement considering you have played only 184 games. Anyway, Cook has fewer than 30 yards in four of his past five games and has finished outside the top 25 at tight end three times this season. Ooof. And that could easily happen again this week against a Patriots team allowing the second-fewest PPG to tight ends this season. Deeper-leaguers should pick up Donald Parham Jr. and shallow-leaguers should look elsewhere than Jared Cook.
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